A recent Ipsos poll reveals that 80% of Canadians are firmly against the idea of joining the United States, valuing their national identity and independence. However, the survey also highlights a notable shift among younger Canadians, with 43% of those aged 18 to 34 indicating they would consider becoming American citizens if guarantees such as asset conversion to U.S. dollars and automatic citizenship were provided.
Darrell Bricker of Ipsos noted that young men, in particular, appear dissatisfied with Canada’s current direction and view opportunities in the U.S. more favorably. “It’s pretty shocking to see that level of openness, especially under the right conditions,” Bricker told Global News. By comparison, only three in 10 respondents across all age groups expressed a similar willingness.
The poll also touched on growing concerns about U.S. president-elect Donald Trump’s rhetoric, with 48% of Canadians perceiving his comments about Canada as the “51st state” as a potential threat to Canadian sovereignty. Still, 43% dismissed these remarks as unserious.
Generational and Regional Divides
While younger Canadians show the highest openness to merging with the U.S., patriotism remains strong across the board. About 80% of respondents stated they would never vote to join the U.S. under any circumstances. However, regional perspectives vary, with 20% expressing a willingness for their provinces to become U.S. states, particularly if Alberta and Quebec were to declare independence.
Additionally, 20% of respondents believe a Canada-U.S. merger is inevitable, though the vast majority (80%) disagreed. Bricker expressed concern about these numbers, particularly among younger demographics who view Canada’s future stability as more uncertain.
The Prospect of Separation
The survey also revealed skepticism about Canada’s unity, with 27% of Canadians predicting that Alberta, Quebec, or both will separate within the next decade. While the majority oppose such scenarios, the findings point to underlying tensions within Canada’s political and economic landscape.
Bricker summarized the findings by emphasizing Canada’s enduring patriotism but cautioned against complacency. “While the majority of Canadians strongly support independence, incentives and economic concerns could sway some, particularly among the younger population.”
